Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Big Red , Boros Burn , Gruul Aggro , Gruul Delirium , Gruul Leyline , Gruul Surprise , Izzet Aggro , Izzet Artist's Monument , Izzet Control , Izzet Monument
Meta Performance Analysis
Scorching Shot ranks #156 out of approximately 406 cards in raw efficiency (top 38%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Red average: 62.1%
Performance compared to other Red cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Scorching Shot is a decent card with average performance in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 1
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 18.75 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 2 mana, the average win rate in the format is 74.7%. Scorching Shot has a win rate of 75.0%, making it 0.4% better than other 2-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llanowar Elves | Creature — Elf Druid | 5 | 60.0% | 4 |
| Scorching Dragonfire | Instant | 14 | 51.5% | 2 |
| Wrenn's Resolve | Sorcery | 8 | 50.2% | 0 |
| Lithomantic Barrage | Sorcery | 121 | 47.7% | 24 |
| Hired Claw | Creature — Lizard Mercenary | 119 | 47.1% | 21 |
| Pawpatch Recruit | Creature — Rabbit Warrior | 96 | 46.6% | 16 |
| Snakeskin Veil | Instant | 63 | 46.3% | 12 |
| Innkeeper's Talent | Enchantment — Class | 109 | 46.1% | 22 |
| Burst Lightning | Instant | 125 | 45.5% | 23 |
| Manifold Mouse | Creature — Mouse Soldier | 129 | 45.1% | 24 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Scorching Shot than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gruul Aggro | 1082 | 52.1% | 43.6% |
| Red Deck Wins | 79 | 5.7% | 40.2% |
| Boros Burn | 39 | 9.9% | 43.4% |
| Gruul Delirium | 36 | 23.8% | 40.3% |
| Izzet Repurpose | 8 | 44.4% | 32.5% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.